“赌徒谬误”及其表现所谓“赌徒谬误”是指根据某事件近期发生情况，而觉得

“赌徒谬误”及其表现所谓“赌徒谬误”是指根据某事件近期发生情况，而觉得某个具有确定发生概率的事件，其发生的可能性是增加或减少了。即人们在预测未来时倾向于把过去的表现作为判断的依据，也就是根据事情最近是否发生过，而认为它应该更可能或更不可能发生。这是人们习惯性地误解随机事件的惯常表现。“赌徒谬误”就是一个简单例证，指错误地相信既然一个硬币已连续抛出几次正面，那么下一次抛出反面的可能性会增大。千万不要这样认为，这正是“赌徒谬误”的表现，即使对方一连掷出8次、10次正面，下次掷出反面的可能性大小（概率）仍为对半（0.5）。

結果 (英文) 1:

"Gambler's fallacy" and so-called "gambler's fallacy" is defined as an event to occur in the near future and that a has to determine the probability of an event, its probability of occurrence is increased or decreased. That people tend to view the past performance in predicting the future as a basis for judgment, that is, according to what recently happened, but that it should be more or less likely to happen. This is routinely misunderstood the customary performance of random events. "Gambler's fallacy" is a simple example, refers to the illusion that a coin has been thrown several positive, then the next increase likely to throw back. Don't think so, this is the "gambler's fallacy", even if they roll 8 times in a row, 10 positive, next time you throw out negative likelihood (probability) still half (0.5).

結果 (英文) 2:

"Gambler's fallacy" and show the so-called "gambler's fallacy" refers to an event of recent occurrence, and has determined that an event occurrence probability, the likelihood of its occurrence is increased or decreased. That is when people tend to predict the future performance of the past as the basis for judgment, that is, whether or not based on what happened recently too, but think it should be more likely or less likely to occur. This is the people habitually misunderstood random events habitual performance. "Gambler's fallacy" is a simple illustration, referring mistakenly believe that since a coin thrown several consecutive positive, the next throw will increase the possibility of the reverse side. Do not think so, this is the "gambler's fallacy" performance, even if they throw 8 consecutive times, 10 times positive, the next roll of the possibility of negative size (probability) remains in half (0.5).

結果 (英文) 3:

"Gambler"s fallacy" and the "gambler"s fallacy" means that the probability of occurrence of an event is increased or reduced by the occurrence of a certain event. That people tend to take the past performance as the basis of judgment in the future, that is, according to whether the matter has occurred recently, and that it should be more likely or less likely to occur. This is the usual expression of people"s habit of misunderstanding random events. Gambler fallacy is a simple example of a mistake to believe that since a coin has been thrown several times in a row, then the next time the possibility of throwing the opposite will increase. Don"t think so, this is the "gamblers fallacy", even if the other 8 times, 10 times for a positive, a negative next probability (probability) is on (0.5).