Human beings are confused about the uncertainty, because it is difficult to grasp and predict, often random results as a role of some mysterious force. Ancient sages and persistent good at through logic and axiomatic proof to get the truth, but could not generalize the basic probability theory, people of probability theory until the middle of the seventeenth Century it emerged, the real applied statistics probability theory to make a systematic study of a large number of random phenomena, is nearly a hundred years development of the subject. Although the basic principle of random generated in daily logic, but many result is counterintuitive, by mistake will cause many errors in judgment, improper decision-making, probability and statistics in the "gamblers fallacy" is a typical example.
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